Statistical Forecasting
•
Standard forecast method
Flood, seismic, ...
•
Tested against real & Monte Carlo simulations
•
Maximum expected wave
•
2-6 hour forecast
•
Real-time data assimilation
•
Empirically derived bounds
= A
(
= observed tsunami std dev)
A is site- and frequency-insensitive
Introduction
Field Observation Program
Modeling & Forecasting
Future Directions
= A
